A predictive model using artificial intelligence has been developed to help farmers with pest management and ultimately improve production and reduce pesticide use.
Spain’s agriÂculÂtural minÂistry is using artiÂfiÂcial intelÂliÂgence for the secÂond year to preÂdict the evoÂluÂtion of the olive fly by anaÂlyzÂing data colÂlected by the Andalusian Plant Protection and Information Network. The goal is to help olive farmÂers manÂage the pest more effecÂtively, improve proÂducÂtion, reduce pesÂtiÂcide use, and ultiÂmately preÂvent the severe damÂage it can cause to crops.
For the secÂond conÂsecÂuÂtive year, Spain’s agriÂculÂtural minÂistry has launched a pilot experÂiÂment using artiÂfiÂcial intelÂliÂgence to preÂdict the evoÂluÂtion of the olive fly.
The experÂiÂment uses data colÂlected on the olive fly by the Andalusian Plant Protection and Information Network (RAIF), a project of the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Rural Development. The data are anaÂlyzed and fed into an artiÂfiÂcial intelÂliÂgence model that can preÂdict the fly’s behavÂior up to four weeks in advance by using machine learnÂing techÂniques.
This method proÂvides a valuÂable tool for olive farmÂers to betÂter manÂage the pest by revealÂing the areas and dates of the greatÂest risk of infesÂtaÂtion. This also allows for the more effiÂcient planÂning and designÂing of meaÂsures to conÂtrol the pest. The aim of this preÂdicÂtive model using artiÂfiÂcial intelÂliÂgence is to ultiÂmately improve proÂducÂtion and reduce the use of pesÂtiÂcides.
Those benÂeÂfitÂing from the pilot project are Integrated Production Associations (APIs) made up of olive growÂers workÂing in 10 municÂiÂpalÂiÂties in the province of Jaén and nine in the province of Cordoba in southÂern Spain. This includes 12 APIs made up of a total numÂber of 1,568 farmÂers with a total of 9,000 hectares of olive groves.
The RAIF netÂwork colÂlects data and proÂvides inforÂmaÂtion on the phyÂtosanÂiÂtary staÂtus of the main crops of the Andalusian region thanks to close to 700 field techÂniÂcians and 4,621 conÂtrol staÂtions located in each province. There are also 150 weather staÂtions recordÂing inforÂmaÂtion on the cliÂmatic sitÂuÂaÂtion in each crop area. Meanwhile, techÂniÂcians posted at each conÂtrol staÂtion take note of potenÂtial pests or disÂeases.
Each week, the assoÂciÂaÂtions of growÂers will receive inforÂmaÂtion preÂdictÂing the perÂcentÂage of their crop susÂcepÂtiÂble to the olive fly so that they can betÂter plan pest manÂageÂment for that week. In return, the APIs are expected to report back with their obserÂvaÂtions so that the preÂdicÂtive model can be furÂther improved.
The olive fly is a species of fruit fly and a dreaded pest for olive growÂers across the Mediterranean region because of the severe damÂage it can cause to their crops. The pest was partly to blame for poor yields durÂing the 2014 – 2015 harÂvest seaÂson which saw proÂducÂtion decrease by more than 50 perÂcent in Spain and Italy, the world’s biggest olive proÂducÂers.
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