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Tunisia’s Ministry of Agriculture plans to increase olive oil production to 250,000 tons annually by 2035, focusing on improving farming practices and expanding exports to new markets. The strategy also includes investments in quality, scientific research, and partnerships with the private sector, but does not address the potential impacts of climate change on olive production in the country.
Tunisia’s Ministry of Agriculture, Water Resources and Fisheries will announce a new strategy to promote olive growing and olive oil production over the coming decade, according to Agence Tunis Afrique Presse (TAP), which obtained a copy of the plan.
The goal is for Tunisia to produce 250,000 tons of extra virgin olive oil each year, export 200,000 tons of olive oil annually and raise domestic consumption to 50,000 tons annually by 2035.
According to data from the International Olive Council, Tunisia produced an average of 228,000 tons of olive oil each year over the past half-decade, including a record-high 440,000 tons in the 2019/20 crop year.
See Also:Italy Becomes Largest Market for Tunisia’s Organic Olive Oil ExportsIOC data also indicates that average annual exports were 216,000 tons over that period, although exports reached a six-year low in the current crop year. Meanwhile, consumption has remained relatively low at an annual average of 33,600 tons.
According to TAP, the ministry plans to improve production by renewing 1,000 hectares of old olive groves each year, planting new varieties and converting 10,000 hectares of rainfed groves to super-high-density plantations annually. About 93 percent of Tunisia’s olive groves are rainfed.
Amid a disappointing harvest in 2020/21, Ajmi Larbi, the head scientist at the country’s Olive Institute, said the lack of irrigation and poor farming practices were inhibiting producers from consistently achieving higher yields.
He added that better pruning practices and other agronomic techniques would vastly improve yields and minimize the significant gap between ‘on-years’ and ‘off-years’ in the North African country.
On and off years
In the context of olive oil production, the term “off-year” refers to a year in which olive trees produce a lower yield of olives. Olive trees have a natural cycle of alternating high and low production years, known as “on-years” and “off-years,” respectively. During an on-year, the olive trees bear a greater quantity of fruit, resulting in increased olive oil production. This is influenced by various factors, including weather conditions, such as rainfall and temperature, as well as the tree’s age and overall health. Conversely, an off-year, also known as a “light year” or “low production year,” is characterized by a reduced yield of olives. This can occur due to factors like stress from the previous on year, unfavorable weather conditions or natural fluctuations in the tree’s productivity. Olive oil producers often monitor these cycles to anticipate and plan for variations in production. On-years are generally preferred as they provide higher quantities of olives for harvesting and processing, leading to increased olive oil output.
The ministry’s strategy also includes restructuring how the sector is governed, investing in mills to improve quality, more funds to improve scientific research programs and partnerships with the private sector to develop an analytical database.
According to Tunisia’s National Olive Oil Office (ONH), investing in quality is the best way to improve the economic situation of growers and make the sector sustainable in the long run.
The organization believes this focus on quality will facilitate the increased export of individually packaged olive oil exports, which are far more profitable for producers than the traditional bulk exports with which the country is associated.
In its strategy, the ministry also plans to expand Tunisian olive oil exports. About 95 percent of all Tunisian olive oil exports are destined for Europe and the United States. However, the ministry is now looking east to develop closer ties with Japan, China, India and African countries.
Ongoing efforts from officials, the government and producers have already started to bear fruit. Last month, Tunisian trade officials announced that the country would increase its exports to South Korea, which is the world’s twelfth-largest olive oil importer.
According to Tunisia’s National Observatory of Agriculture (Onagri), the country is also well-poised to tap into the growing organic olive oil market, with the amount of organic exports rising to roughly half of the country’s annual production totals.
Notably absent from the strategy is how Tunisian growers will contend with the impacts of climate change in the increasingly hot, dry and wildfire-prone country.
A report published by Onagri estimated that olive oil production could fall to an average of 61,000 tons annually, citing warmer winters preventing trees from receiving necessary chill hours, higher springtime temperatures interfering with blossoming and longer periods of drought.
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