News Briefs
Italy is facing an olive oil shortage greater than any seen in over a generation, with disappointing harvest forecasts across the Mediterranean basin. Soaring energy prices and catastrophic climate events have led to a situation where only a third of the usual 600,000 tons of extra virgin olive oil sales in the Italian domestic market are expected to be provided, prompting calls for subsidies for producers and consumers.
Andrea Carassi, director general of the Italian Association of the Edible Oil Industry (Assitol), has warned that Italy is facing an olive oil shortage greater than any seen in over a generation.
His comments come amid a string of disappointing harvest forecasts across the Mediterranean basin.
Growers in Spain, the world’s largest olive oil producer, predict a 50 percent decline in production. Meanwhile, authorities in Tunisia, Italy and Portugal also anticipate significant production decreases this year.
See Also:Amid Growing Inflation, Italians Prioritize High-Quality Food Purchases“We had spoken of a hot autumn for olive oil in early September. Unfortunately, we were not wrong,” Carassi told Il Sole 24 Ore. “The disproportion between consumption and production is such that, between now and next summer, we may not have enough oil for the shelves of large retailers.”
The Italian domestic market accounts for approximately 600,000 tons of extra virgin olive oil sales each season. However, recent estimates predict that only a third of this will be provided, owing to a series of catastrophic climate events ranging from storms to drought.
Soaring energy prices have further complicated the situation, increasing production costs and prompting calls for subsidies for producers and consumers alike.
However, Carassi sees a danger in artificially lowering prices. He said this could lead to an even earlier depletion of stock and that “at a time when olive oil is becoming a rare commodity, we believe that it is advisable to avoid continuous recourse to promotions which would damage consumer confidence in the entire olive oil sector, and debase the value of our efforts.”
This will do little to allay the fears of consumers, however. Italy’s National Confederation of Independent Farmers (Coldiretti) warned that extra virgin olive oil might reach a record retail price of €10 per liter as every part of the supply chain, from production and packaging to labeling and transport, is burdened by cost increases of 30 to 170 percent.
More articles on: Assitol, Italy, olive oil consumption
Feb. 10, 2026
Weeks of Rain and Flooding Slow Spain’s Olive Harvest, Threatening Output Targets
Spain’s olive harvest has been disrupted by weeks of rain and storms, prompting AEMO to trim its 2025/26 production outlook to about 1.2 million tons and warn of a lower share of extra virgin olive oil.
Jul. 8, 2025
Before the Flavored Oil Trend, There Was 'Agrumato'
Agrumato olive oil, made with Gentile olives and fresh citrus fruits, is a proprietary recipe from the Ricci family, credited with popularizing flavored olive oil.
Mar. 22, 2026
Olive Growing Returns to Italy’s Smallest Region
Olive cultivation is slowly expanding in Valle d’Aosta as growers reclaim abandoned terraces, adapt to milder conditions and plan for the area’s first mill.
Apr. 29, 2025
U.S. Olive Oil Producers Win Big at World Competition
American producers demonstrated their ability to match the quality of imported brands, winning 92 awards at the 2025 NYIOOC World Olive Oil Competition.
Apr. 29, 2025
Campaign Encourages Australians to Get Drizzling
The "Get Drizzling" campaign by AOOA aims to reignite Australian consumers' interest in using olive oil and promote its health benefits and versatility.
Jul. 23, 2025
Italian Producers Wrap Up a Modest Season
The moderate harvest comes amid a wider trend of declining olive oil production. Producer groups are working to add value and improve climate resilience.
Jan. 28, 2026
How Extra Virgin Olive Oil Elevates Traditional Neapolitan Pizza
One of the world's most celebrated pizza makers, Salvatore Salvo of Pizzeria Salvo in Naples shares his insights on pairing pizza and extra virgin olive oil.
Mar. 10, 2026
New Olive Groves Take Root in Italy’s Northern Regions of Piedmont, Trentino
Olive cultivation is expanding across northern Italy, driven by a mix of shifting climate conditions, farm diversification and renewed interest in local production.