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Vegetable oil prices, includÂing rapeÂseed, soyÂbean, and palm oil, have risen due to reduced palm oil proÂducÂtion and increased demand for bioÂfuÂels, with the trend expected to conÂtinue in the first half of 2021. Meanwhile, olive oil prices have remained staÂble since March, but the slowÂing down of prices is attribÂuted to facÂtors such as reduced oil yield from low-qualÂity olives due to adverse weather conÂdiÂtions.
According to the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) food price index, vegÂetable oil prices rose by 162 points in April, with a month-to-month increase of 2.9 points or 1.8 perÂcent.
The increase was driÂven by the risÂing prices of rapeÂseed (canola), soyÂbean and palm oil. During the same period, olive oil prices held firm folÂlowÂing a steady increase up until March.
Vegetable oil prices are also risÂing due to reduced palm oil proÂducÂtion, parÂtially caused by a Covid-19-fueled labor shortÂage in Malaysia, a major palm oil proÂducer.
See Also:Global Olive Oil Production Will Hit Four-Year High, USDA EstimatesAccording to the Council of Palm Oil Producing Countries, palm oil prices will conÂtinue on their upward trend for the first half of 2021 due to La Niña weather patÂterns, which also negÂaÂtively affected palm oil proÂducÂtion in Malaysia.
However, in the secÂond half of 2021, betÂter crop manÂageÂment and sufÂfiÂcient rainÂfall might boost proÂducÂtion, which is likely to slow down prices.
In mid-March, Malaysian palm oil price futures conÂtinÂued on an upward traÂjecÂtory to peak at $968.70 per ton for the first time in more than a decade.
Soybean, sunÂflower and canola oils have been postÂing sigÂnifÂiÂcant gains too. Vegetable oil prices have increased along with crude oil prices as some are used to make bioÂfuÂels.
In the meanÂtime, soyÂbean shortÂages have driÂven up its oil prices as aniÂmal feed makÂers in the United States hoarded the prodÂuct toward the end of 2020. Soybeans are the preÂferred vegÂetable proÂtein for use in aniÂmal feed.
China, a sigÂnifÂiÂcant soyÂbean purÂchaser, is also expected to conÂtinue buyÂing vast volÂumes of the crop in 2021.
These two events have both conÂtributed to the demand for soyÂbeans, driÂving prices up to four-year highs.
The reducÂing supÂply and high demand for soyÂbeans will likely entice farmÂers to plant more hectares of the crop in 2021. This may staÂbiÂlize soyÂbean prices later in the year.
In the meanÂtime, olive oil prices have largely held steady since March, which had seen a rapid increase in prices.
However, the pace slowed down and steadÂied in April. The slowÂing down of prices is attribÂuted to low-qualÂity olives yieldÂing less oil due to sevÂeral facÂtors. Among these is Storm Filomena, which dropped 50 cenÂtimeÂters of snow in Spain’s cenÂtral and northÂern regions and caused conÂsidÂerÂable damÂage to olive groves.