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The International Olive Council preÂdicts that Greece will more than douÂble its olive oil proÂducÂtion after a disÂasÂtrous year, while the global proÂducÂtion of olive oil is estiÂmated to decrease to 2.56 milÂlion tons this year due to lower outÂput from Spain and other proÂducÂers. The increase in global olive oil proÂducÂtion durÂing the 2013 – 14 crop year has led to a surÂplus, but the IOC foreÂcasts that demand will exceed supÂply this year, potenÂtially leadÂing to risÂing proÂducer prices for olive oil.

The world proÂduced 3.164 milÂlion tons of olive oil durÂing the 2013 – 14 crop year, accordÂing to the latÂest International Olive Council (IOC) newsletÂter — an increase of 32 perÂcent over the year before. Spain, which accounted for 57 perÂcent of the global outÂput had a record year, nearly douÂbling its proÂducÂtion and makÂing up for lower totals from other proÂducÂers, notably Greece which saw its yield drop by more than half to 135,000 tons.
But this year, as the harÂvest seaÂson in the Northern hemiÂsphere gets underÂway, the IOC estiÂmates world proÂducÂtion to recoil to 2.56 milÂlion tons — with Spain conÂtributÂing just half of last year’s record amount, while Greece will bounce back from a disÂasÂtrous year, to more than douÂble its proÂducÂtion to 300,000 tons.
See Also:Complete Coverage of the 2014 Harvest
While the world proÂduced 170,000 tons more than it conÂsumed durÂing the last seaÂson, this year will be difÂferÂent, the IOC says, as it preÂdicts demand to exceed supÂply, which could explain risÂing proÂducer prices for olive oil. Italian olive oil is fetchÂing 37 perÂcent more than it did last year, surÂpassÂing the 4‑euro mark to €4.10/kg at the end of last month.
In fact, accordÂing to the latÂest International Monetary Fund figÂures for August, the averÂage ex-tanker price ($4.14/kg) for extra virÂgin olive oil reached its highÂest level since July, 2008.
After a slow start, imports in the U.S., Canada, Australia and Japan ralÂlied to show gains for the crop year through June, the IOC reported.
See Also:IOC September, 2014 Newsletter