Olive-producing countries are showing mixed signals in terms of prices and production despite the market’s relative stability, according to an EU commissioner.
The European Commission will monitor olive oil prices in member countries, such as Spain, where they have decreased significantly in spite of a rather stable production for the 2018/19 olive campaign.
Phil Hogan, European Commissioner for Agriculture and Rural Development, said during a meeting in Luxembourg that olive producing countries within the European Union are showing mixed signals in terms of prices and production despite the market’s relative stability.
Although at the E.U. level there are no particular signs of market disturbances, my department will closely monitor developments at Member State level in the coming weeks
“Although at the E.U. level there are no particular signs of market disturbances, my department will closely monitor developments at Member State level in the coming weeks,” Hogan said.
Examples of this are the high olive oil prices in Italy, caused by a low yield that was due to difficult weather and Xylella fastidiosa, and the very low prices found in Spain, a country that enjoyed a very good campaign.See more: Olive Oil Prices
In Andalusia, where the vast majority of Spanish olive oil is produced, some described the 2018/19 campaign as atypical, with good yields in terms of volume, average quality and lower extraction levels because of an inadequate proportion between olive pulp and skin.
This was caused by an irregular climate throughout the campaign, which featured episodes of untimely rain and high temperatures during the olive cycle. Consequently, there was a lack of uniformity in fruit size and maturation as a result of which many fruits had not yet produced oil at the moment of their picking. This led to a lower fat content, less intense early extra virgin olive oils and difficulties at the time of grinding which required the addition of water to the paste and a resulting correction during extraction.
In January, estimates released by the European Commission indicated that olive oil production numbers for the 2018/19 olive harvest in the European Union were expected to remain rather stable at 2.375 million tons, only 1.4 percent below the 2017/18 campaign yield.
This contrasts with the 5.5 percent decrease in global oil production expected for the 2018/19 as per the estimates provided by the International Olive Council (IOC) to Olive Oil Times. Tunisia and Argentina, with harvests dropping between 55 and 57 percent, were critical in this decline.
Spain was expected to make up for 75 percent of the European Union’s olive production in the 2018/19 season and more than 50 percent of the global production. Italy, the second largest global olive oil producer saw its production fall by 38 percent. Greece and Portugal also had 35 percent and 20 percent decreases, respectively.
According to estimates from the European Commission, Spanish olive production increased by 26.6 percent in 2018/19, when production reached 1.76 million tons, a figure higher than the 1.39 million tons from the previous year. This production volume has enabled Spain to compensate the decreases of other producing countries in the European Union.
Luis Planas, Spain’s Minister of Agriculture, Fishing and Food, is in constant contact with the European Commission to monitor the market evolution. He recommended self-regulation to ensure that prices do not go too low. He also asked the Interprofessional Body for Spanish Olive Oil to develop a proposal addressing strategies to handle demand and prices for olive oil, which will be presented to the European Commission.
Planas is confident that this self-regulation will lead to a price increase, preventing the need to depend on private storage to control offer and demand, withdrawing lower level categories from the market in order to keep reasonable prices. Currently, olives have an average price of €2.40 per kilogram and the Minister expects this would not go lower than €1.78.
The last time private storage was allowed was back in 2012. The procedure is a complicated and time-consuming decision that must be ratified by the European Commission and a number of its member countries.